The NHS Business Services Authority examined five groups of psychopharmaceuticals:
Prescribing patterns for all five changed after the Government introduced the first lockdown in March 2020. The largest monthly decrease in prescribing usually occurs in January and February, partly reflecting fewer dispensing days but, in 2020, prescribing also fell in July and August.
The number of hypnotic and anxiolytic items declined by 9.90 per cent in July and August compared with 10.1 per cent in January and February. Antipsychotics (8.94 and 9.19 per cent respectively), antidepressants (9.30 and 9.02 per cent respectively), CNS stimulants (9.34 and 8.11 per cent respectively) and dementia drugs (7.98 and 9.18 per cent respectively) also showed a dip in July and August that was similar to the fall in January and February.
The data cannot prove that Covid-19 directly changed prescribing patterns but it is a reasonable inference, in some cases at least.
The number of dementia items prescribed between March to September 2020 declined by 1.10 per cent compared with the same months in 2019 but the monthly average number of patients receiving at least one dementia drug increased by 0.79 per cent compared with 2019.
The NHSBSA suggests that the decrease in items and increase in patients may reflect the issuing of longer prescriptions to help shield older people.
The NHSBSA went on to explore the pandemic’s impact by comparing prescribing between March and September 2020 with the same months in 2019. The number of hypnotics and anxiolytics prescribed between March and September 2020 declined by 2.32 per cent compared with 2019.
However, antidepressant prescribing increased by 4.81 per cent compared with the same months in 2019, while the number of antipsychotic items also increased by 3.97 per cent.
These changes occur against the backdrop of long-term trends, which makes disentangling any specific Covid-19 effect difficult. For instance, healthcare professionals issued 19.6 million antidepressant prescription items between July and September 2020 – up 2 per cent compared with April to June 2020 and 4 per cent compared with July and September 2019.
Indeed, antidepressant prescribing rose by 29.9 per cent, an increase of 4.22 million items per quarter, between July and September 2015 and the same quarter in 2020.
The number of patients prescribed one or more antipsychotic increased by 3.37 per cent from the same quarter in 2019 but fell by 1.81 per cent from the previous quarter in 2020 (possibly due to the difficulties monitoring people during lockdown). Nevertheless, the overall trend remains up: the number of patients and items rose by 16.2 and 18.9 per cent since July and September 2015.
Prescribing of dementia drugs, and hypnotics and anxiolytics all declined. The 1 million items prescribed for dementia between July and September 2020 represents a 3 per cent decline compared with the previous quarter of 2020 and a 5 per cent fall compared with the same quarter in 2019. The 3.54 million hypnotics and anxiolytics prescribed between July and September 2020 represents a 3.26 per cent decrease compared with 2019, while healthcare professionals have been prescribing 464,000 fewer hypnotic and anxiolytic items a quarter since 2015/16.
The pandemic has probably produced a short-term effect on pyschopharmaceutical prescribing, but the March to September 2020 data suggest a limited impact on long-term trajectories.